Phân tích Vàng 1/4-Vàng tăng trong bối cảnh thị trường nhiều bất ổn

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Phân tích Vàng 1/4– Vàng đã được hỗ trợ tăng do dự đoán rằng các cơ quan quản lý tài chính toàn cầu sẽ giảm lãi suất trong năm nay. Hơn nữa, căng thẳng địa chính trị leo thang đã củng cố sức hấp dẫn của vàng như một tài sản trú ẩn an toàn. Hôm nay thị trường chờ đợi dữ liệu PMI sản xuất được công bố vào 21:00.

Vàng được hỗ trợ tăng chủ đạo khi FED có ý định cắt giảm lãi suất – trong cuộc họp tháng 3, Fed đã vạch ra kế hoạch giảm lãi suất ba lần trong năm nay. Bên cạnh đó, Rủi ro địa chính trị là một yếu tố khác hỗ trợ Vàng vì vẫn chưa kết thúc cuộc xâm lược Ukraine của Nga, xung đột Israel/Hamas cũng như các cuộc tấn công ở Biển Đỏ của Houthi.

Vào thứ Sáu (29/3), dữ liệu mới nhất do Bộ Thương mại Hoa Kỳ công bố cho thấy chỉ số giá chi tiêu tiêu dùng cá nhân (PCE) của Hoa Kỳ trong tháng 2 tăng 0,3% so với tháng trước, kỳ vọng của thị trường là 0,4% và giá trị trước đó là 0,3%, tăng trưởng so với cùng kỳ năm trước là 2,5%, không thay đổi so với kỳ vọng, giá trị trước đó là 2,4%. Là thước đo lạm phát yêu thích của Cục Dự trữ Liên bang, chỉ số giá PCE cốt lõi của Hoa Kỳ, không bao gồm giá thực phẩm và năng lượng dễ biến động, tăng 0,3% so với tháng trước và 2,8% so với cùng kỳ năm ngoái trong tháng 2, cả 2 đều phù hợp với kỳ vọng.

Điều này có nghĩa là Fed có thể tiếp tục giữ nguyên chính sách trong tháng 5 cho đến khi có thêm dữ liệu về việc lạm phát chậm lại. Tuy nhiên thì việc lạm phát đang dần đi theo lộ trình của Fed thì sẽ củng cố thêm khả năng cắt giảm lãi suất vào tháng 6, trong khi đó thì khả năng giữ nguyên tại tháng 5 hầu như đã được thị trường định giá xong. Hiện thị trường đang định giá 61% FED sẽ cắt giảm lãi suất 25 điểm cơ bản vào tháng 6.

Hôm nay Hoa Kỳ công bố dữ liệu PMI Sản xuất vào 21:00 hiện thị trường đang kỳ vọng là 48.5 cao hơn chút so với kỳ trước là 47.8. Nếu dữ liệu thực tế công bố vượt kỳ vọng thì vàng có thể xuất hiện điều chỉnh giảm. Ngược lại, nếu dữ liệu yếu hơn kỳ vọng thì vàng tiếp tục được hỗ trợ tăng.

Tóm lại : Vàng vẫn tiếp tục tăng vào sáng nay được củng cổ bởi kỳ vọng cắt giảm lãi suất của FED trong năm nay và căng thẳng địa chính trị leo thang. Thị trường đang chờ đợi dữ liệu PMI Sản xuất vào 21:00 tối nay.

Về góc kỹ thuật

Vàng đang di chuyển trong kênh giá tăng và đang giao dịch quanh vùng 2260. Vàng đã tăng khoảng 25$ trong sáng nay. Do vậy có khả năng xuất hiện pha điều chỉnh giảm trước khi tăng tiếp.

Trong phiên Á có thể canh bán lướt quanh vùng 2260-2262 và canh mua chủ đạo sẽ cập nhật sau.

Chiến lược tham khảo : Vàng 1/4- Bán quanh 2262, Stop 2267, TP 2250-2240 . Canh mua chủ đạo (Update sau khi về vùng 224x)

Vàng 1/4-Điều chỉnh giảm
Nguồn: Blog ngoại hối



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Giá Vàng được củng cố khi Fed đang trên đà cắt giảm lãi suất

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Công Bố Rủi Ro: Giao dịch các công cụ tài chính và/hoặc tiền điện tử tiềm ẩn mức độ rủi ro cao, bao gồm rủi ro mất một phần hoặc toàn bộ vốn đầu tư, và có thể không phù hợp với mọi nhà đầu tư. Giá cả tiền điện tử có độ biến động mạnh và có thể chịu tác động từ các yếu tố bên ngoài như các sự kiện tài chính, pháp lý hoặc chính trị. Việc giao dịch theo mức ký quỹ gia tăng rủi ro tài chính.
Trước khi quyết định giao dịch công cụ tài chính hoặc tiền điện tử, bạn cần nắm toàn bộ thông tin về rủi ro và chi phí đi kèm với việc giao dịch trên các thị trường tài chính, thận trọng cân nhắc đối tượng đầu tư, mức độ kinh nghiệm, khẩu vị rủi ro và xin tư vấn chuyên môn nếu cần.
Fusion Media xin nhắc bạn rằng dữ liệu có trên trang web này không nhất thiết là theo thời gian thực hay chính xác. Dữ liệu và giá cả trên trang web không nhất thiết là thông tin do bất kỳ thị trường hay sở giao dịch nào cung cấp, nhưng có thể được cung cấp bởi các nhà tạo lập thị trường, vì vậy, giá cả có thể không chính xác và có khả năng khác với mức giá thực tế tại bất kỳ thị trường nào, điều này có nghĩa các mức giá chỉ là minh họa và không phù hợp cho mục đích giao dịch. Fusion Media và bất kỳ nhà cung cấp dữ liệu nào có trên trang web này đều không chấp nhận bất cứ nghĩa vụ nào trước bất kỳ tổn thất hay thiệt hại nào xảy ra từ kết quả giao dịch của bạn, hoặc trước việc bạn dựa vào thông tin có trong trang web này.
Bạn không được phép sử dụng, lưu trữ, sao chép, hiển thị, sửa đổi, truyền hay phân phối dữ liệu có trên trang web này và chưa nhận được sự cho phép rõ ràng bằng văn bản của Fusion Media và/hoặc nhà cung cấp. Tất cả các quyền sở hữu trí tuệ đều được bảo hộ bởi các nhà cung cấp và/hoặc sở giao dịch cung cấp dữ liệu có trên trang web này.
Fusion Media có thể nhận thù lao từ các đơn vị quảng cáo xuất hiện trên trang web, dựa trên tương tác của bạn với các quảng cáo hoặc đơn vị quảng cáo đó.

Phiên bản tiếng Anh của thỏa thuận này là phiên bản chính, sẽ luôn được ưu tiên để đối chiếu khi có sự khác biệt giữa phiên bản tiếng Anh và phiên bản tiếng Việt.

© 2007-2024 – Công ty TNHH Fusion Media. Mọi quyền được bảo hộ.



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Phân tích Vàng 26/3-Nhiều dữ liệu kinh tế cần chú ý

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Phân tích Vàng 26/3 – Vàng di chuyển trong biên 2163-2181 với chiều hướng tăng vào hôm qua trước bối cảnh thị trường đang tiêu hoá lập trường “Ôn hoà của FED” khi cho rằng có 3 đợt cắt giảm lãi suất trong năm 2024 và căng thẳng địa chính trị cũng là yếu tố hỗ trợ giá vàng. Hôm nay thị trường quay lại với các dữ liệu kinh tế từ Hoa kỳ như : Đơn đặt hàng lâu bền, niềm tin tiêu dùng… các dữ liệu có tác động ngắn hạn lên giá vàng nhà đầu tư cần lưu ý.

Vàng được hỗ trợ tăng khi Kỳ vọng về việc cắt giảm lãi suất của Cục Dự trữ Liên bang Hoa Kỳ (Fed) trong năm nay và những nhận xét ôn hòa từ các quan chức Fed. Sự tăng giá của vàng được thúc đẩy bởi đặt cược cao hơn vào kỳ vọng cắt giảm lãi suất vào năm 2024. Tuy nhiên, các nhà giao dịch sẽ theo dõi chặt chẽ dữ liệu Chỉ số giá chi tiêu tiêu dùng cá nhân (PCE) của Hoa Kỳ cho tháng 2 vào thứ Sáu để xác nhận về thời điểm cắt giảm lãi suất. Dữ liệu PCE được dự báo sẽ tăng 0,4% MoM, trong khi chỉ số Cốt lõi dự kiến ​​sẽ tăng 0,3% MoM. Các nhà giao dịch đã định giá xác suất 70% về việc cắt giảm lãi suất vào tháng 6, so với 65% trước cuộc họp tháng 3 của Fed vào tuần trước.

Sắp tới, những người tham gia thị trường sẽ tập trung vào Niềm tin của người tiêu dùng Hoa Kỳ theo Conference Board, Đơn đặt hàng lâu bền và Chỉ số giá nhà của FHFA vào thứ Ba. Cuối tuần này, Tổng sản phẩm quốc nội hàng năm của Hoa Kỳ trong quý 4 (Q4) sẽ được công bố vào thứ Năm và báo cáo PCE của Hoa Kỳ sẽ được công bố vào thứ Sáu.

Các dữ liệu kinh tế cần chú ý

Thêm nữa, các nhà đầu tư cũng cần lưu ý căng thẳng địa chính trị ở Trung Đông và Đông Âu có thể thúc đẩy dòng chảy trú ẩn an toàn và có lợi cho giá vàng.

Tóm lại: Vàng vẫn có nhiều hỗ trợ khi thị trường đang tiêu hoá kỳ vọng cắt giảm lãi suất của FED trong tháng 6 và căng thẳng địa chính trị ở Trung Đông và Đông Âu. Do vậy các đợt điều chỉnh giảm với vàng có thể là cơ hội canh mua vàng trong ngắn hạn.

Về góc kỹ thuật

Vàng đã di chuyển trong biên 2163-2181 vào hôm qua. Trong phiên Á Âu hôm nay dự kiến giá vàng tiếp tục di chuyển trong vùng range này. Vùng mua dự kiến tiềm năng trong phiên Á ÂU là quanh 2165 nơi có trendline hỗ trợ tăng đi qua.
Chiến lược tham khảo : Vàng 26/3- mua quanh 2165, Stop 2160, TP 2180. Hoặc chờ bán quanh 2185 (Update sau)

Vàng 26/3-trendline hỗ trợ

Nguồn : Blog ngoại hối



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Liệu cặp EUR/USD có tăng mạnh trở lại?

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, cặp tiền tệ được giao dịch phổ biến trên thị trường ngoại hối, liệu có tăng mạnh trở lại hay không? Hãy cùng Doto phân tích cặp EUR/USD theo cách đơn giản nhất trong bài viết này nhé.

Các yếu tố ảnh hưởng mạnh đến cặp EUR/USD:

Lãi suất

Điều đầu tiên phải nhắc đến khi nói về các cặp tiền tệ, đó là lãi suất. Hiện tại thì cả ECB và Fed đều đang giữ lãi suất ở mức khá cao lần lượt là 4,5% và 5,5% trong nhiều tháng trở lại đây. Mục tiêu của việc tăng lãi suất là nhằm kiểm soát lạm phát và giúp cho giá trị đồng tiền của Mỹ và EU mạnh hơn. Tuy nhiên, tại thời điểm hiện tại, lãi suất của cả ECB và Fed đều đang được cho là ở mức đỉnh và có thể có những đợt cắt giảm lãi suất trong thời gian tới. Việc đưa lãi suất về mức thấp hơn và ổn định sau một thời gian dài tăng lãi suất để kiểm soát lạm phát sẽ giúp cho đồng nội tệ có được sự ổn định về lâu dài, và tránh nguy cơ lạm phát quá cao hoặc giảm phát khiến cho đồng tiền bị mất giá.  

Biểu đồ minh họa lãi suất của ECB và Fed. Nguồn: tradingeconomics.com

Lạm phát

Vấn đề thường được đưa ra bàn luận trước khi tăng hoặc giảm lãi suất là lạm phát. Mức lạm phát 2% thường được cho là mức ổn định đối với các quốc gia, mức này thường là mục tiêu nhắm đến mỗi khi lạm phát tăng cao và các ngân hàng bắt buộc phải tăng lãi suất. Việc đánh giá lạm phát sẽ dựa trên rất nhiều yếu tố tăng trưởng như CPI, PPI, GDP cũng như một vài chỉ số kinh tế khác. Cả EU và Mỹ đang cho thấy việc kiểm soát tốt lạm phát và cố gắng đưa lạm phát về mức mục tiêu 2% trong tương lai gần (lạm phát trong tháng 1 năm 2024 của EU là 2,8% và của Mỹ là 3,1%). Việc lạm phát được neo ở mức cao hơn sẽ cần phải có những nỗ lực tiếp tục giữ lãi suất ở mức cao và giúp giá trị đồng nội tệ tiếp tục có lợi thế. 

Biểu đồ tỷ lệ lạm phát tại Mỹ và EU. Nguồn: tradingeconomics.com

Vấn đề chính trị 

Tình hình chính trị ổn định tại các quốc gia sẽ luôn giúp cho việc phát triển kinh tế và giúp cho đồng nội tệ giữ được sự ổn định về giá trị so với tiền tệ của các quốc gia khác. Việc liên tục đối mặt với việc vỡ nợ công có thể gây ảnh hưởng đến đồng đôla. Bên cạnh đó, trong cuộc bầu cử tổng thống Mỹ sắp tới, nếu như một vị tổng thống mới không phải Joe Biden điều hành đất nước thì có thể dẫn đến những thay đổi trong chính sách cũng như điều hành đất nước và khiến cho đồng đôla Mỹ biến động mạnh.

Khu vực châu Âu mới đây đã chứng kiến một loạt các cuộc biểu tình của nông dân tại Pháp và một số quốc gia khác vì vấn đề liên quan tới thuế, điều này làm cho kinh tế nông nghiệp tạm thời gián đoạn ở một vài quốc gia. Tuy nhiên, tình hình chính trị chung của các nước trong Liên minh châu Âu hiện tại chưa có biến động mạnh trong tương lai gần. 
Phân tích kỹ thuật

Biểu đồ cặp tiền tệ EUR/USD theo khung thời gian tuần. Nguồn: Sàn giao dịch Doto

Cặp tiền tệ này đã quay trở lại xu hướng tăng trên khung thời gian tuần, đồng thời cho thấy triển vọng tăng trưởng tiềm năng. Tuy nhiên, để có được sự tăng trưởng mạnh mẽ và bền vững, cặp EUR/USD cần vượt qua hai ngưỡng kháng cự quan trọng ở mức 1,105 và 1,115 để đảm bảo việc tăng mạnh trở lại trong thời gian tới. Nếu không thể vượt qua các ngưỡng kháng cự này, cặp tiền tệ này có thể quay đầu và thử lại đường xu hướng và đối mặt với ngưỡng hỗ trợ gần nhất ở mức 1,065.

Kết luận

Cặp tiền tệ EUR/USD hiện đang chịu ảnh hưởng mạnh mẽ từ các yếu tố quan trọng, đặc biệt là lãi suất, lạm phát và ổn định chính trị. Hiện tại, cả ECB và Fed đều duy trì mức lãi suất ổn định sau một thời gian dài ở mức đỉnh, nhưng dự kiến sẽ giảm dần trong tương lai. Kiểm soát lạm phát chính là ưu tiên, với cả EU và Mỹ đang nỗ lực đưa lạm phát về mức mục tiêu 2%. Tình hình chính trị ổn định tại Mỹ là yếu tố tích cực, trong khi châu Âu đang đối mặt với thách thức liên quan tới bất ổn chính trị. Những biến động này có thể tạo ra thách thức cho sự tăng trưởng của cặp EUR/USD trong thời gian tới.

Hãy giao dịch EUR/USD trên sàn giao dịch Doto, nơi giao dịch trở nên đơn giản nhất có thể.



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Why You Should Consider Purchasing Gmail Accounts

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Package Price
Basic $50
Standard $100
Premium $150

Conclusion

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FAQ

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When looking to purchase Gmail accounts in bulk, it’s essential to choose a reliable provider like bulkacc.com. They offer an easy and affordable process to buy verified Gmail accounts in bulk, ensuring a seamless communication experience. With bulkacc.com, you can quickly purchase Gmail accounts to meet your specific needs and enhance your online presence effectively.

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Conclusion

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FAQ

As someone who has benefited greatly from buying Soundcloud accounts to boost my Soundcloud presence and increase my Soundcloud followers, I understand the importance of clarifying any questions you may have about this strategy. Here are the answers to the top 3 frequently asked questions:

1. Why should I consider buying Soundcloud accounts?

Investing in Soundcloud accounts is a strategic move to expand your Soundcloud reach and grow your Soundcloud audience effectively. By purchasing accounts from a reliable source like bulkacc.com, you can quickly enhance your online presence and increase your credibility within the music industry. Furthermore, buying Soundcloud accounts allows you to kickstart your journey towards success by providing you with a head start in building your follower base.

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When you buy Soundcloud accounts from a reputable provider like bulkacc.com, you are not just acquiring numbers, but also potential engagement opportunities. These accounts can help you expand your Soundcloud reach by reaching a wider audience that may be interested in your music. Additionally, the increased activity from these accounts can attract more organic followers and listeners to your Soundcloud profile.

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Absolutely. Purchasing Soundcloud accounts is a proven strategy to grow your Soundcloud audience and increase your Soundcloud followers rapidly. By obtaining accounts that are active and engaged, you can create a domino effect that leads to more people discovering and following your Soundcloud profile. This boost in followers can result in higher visibility, more plays for your tracks, and ultimately, a stronger presence in the competitive music industry.

The Risks of Buying Twitter Accounts

The Risks of Buying Twitter AccountsWhen I decided to explore the option of purchasing Twitter accounts, I came across bulkacc.com as a potential source. As I delved deeper into the process of buying accounts, I discovered the risks associated with such transactions. In this post, I will delve into the consequences of buying accounts and shed light on the potential pitfalls that may arise from purchasing Twitter accounts from bulkacc.com.

The Potential Risks of Buying Twitter Accounts

As I delved into the world of purchasing Twitter accounts, I quickly realized the risks of buying Twitter accounts from platforms like bulkacc.com. One of the main risk of purchasing accounts is the uncertainty surrounding the authenticity of the accounts. These accounts could be inactive, fake, or even associated with malicious activities.

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It is essential to weigh the risks of purchasing accounts against the potential benefits before making a decision. Being aware of these risks can help in making an informed choice and avoiding any unwanted consequences.

Factors to Consider Before Buying Twitter Accounts

Before proceeding with the purchase, it is crucial to research the source of the accounts thoroughly. Look for reviews, testimonials, and verify the credibility of the platform like bulkacc.com. Additionally, consider the purpose of buying the accounts and assess whether it aligns with your goals and values.

Consequences of Purchasing Accounts from bulkacc.com

When I decided to buy Twitter accounts from bulkacc.com, I was aware of the risks of purchasing accounts online. One of the main concerns was the authenticity and quality of the accounts being sold. It’s crucial to ensure that the accounts are not fake or compromised, as this could lead to serious repercussions for my online reputation and engagement.

Moreover, buying Twitter accounts from questionable sources like bulkacc.com can result in legal consequences. Unauthorized account selling violates Twitter’s terms of service, and if caught, I could face suspension or even permanent ban from the platform. This could negatively impact my online presence and marketing efforts.

Additionally, purchasing accounts without verifying their history and activity can expose me to security risks. These accounts may have been involved in spamming, phishing, or other malicious activities, putting my personal information and followers at risk of being compromised.

Therefore, before buying Twitter accounts from bulkacc.com or any other platform, I must thoroughly research the seller, check for reviews and feedback, and ensure that the accounts are legitimate and safe to purchase. It’s crucial to weigh the potential risks against the benefits before making any decisions.

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When looking to buy Twitter accounts, it’s essential to choose a reputable seller like bulkacc.com that guarantees authentic and active accounts. By opting for a trustworthy source, I can minimize the risks of purchasing accounts and ensure a smooth and secure transaction process.

Conclusion

After exploring the risks of buying Twitter accounts and the consequences of such actions, it is evident that caution is paramount when considering transactions of this nature. While the allure of expanding one’s online presence quickly may be tempting, the potential pitfalls that come with purchasing accounts must not be overlooked.

From my research on bulkacc.com, it is clear that buying accounts from this source can lead to various issues such as account suspension or loss of credibility on the platform. These risks of purchasing accounts can ultimately harm your brand reputation and hinder your digital marketing efforts.

Therefore, it is crucial to thoroughly weigh the benefits against the risks before deciding to buy Twitter accounts. It may be more beneficial in the long run to invest time and effort into organically growing your Twitter following, rather than taking the shortcut that purchasing accounts offers.

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FAQ

As someone interested in buying Twitter accounts, you may have questions about the risks involved in such transactions. Here are some frequently asked questions about the consequences of purchasing accounts that may help clarify your doubts:

1. What are the potential risks of buying Twitter accounts?

When you buy Twitter accounts from sources like bulkacc.com, you expose yourself to several risks. These accounts may have a history of spamming, fake followers, or engagement manipulation, which can lead to account suspension or permanent ban. Additionally, purchasing accounts may violate Twitter’s terms of service, putting your own account at risk.

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By buying accounts from bulkacc.com or similar platforms, you not only risk losing access to the purchased accounts but also jeopardize your own account’s credibility and reputation. Twitter’s algorithms are designed to detect unusual account activities, and engaging with bought accounts can trigger penalties such as shadowbanning or limited reach for your tweets.

3. Should I consider buying Twitter accounts despite the risks?

It is strongly advised to avoid buying Twitter accounts to maintain the integrity of your social media presence. The consequences of engaging in such practices far outweigh any potential short-term benefits. Instead, focus on organic growth strategies to build a genuine and loyal following on Twitter.

Purchase Old Quora Accounts with Authority

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Pricing Table


Conclusion

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FAQ

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Pricing Table:

Package Price
Starter $99
Standard $199
Premium $299

Conclusion

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FAQ

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